Originally Posted By TomSawyer What do you think the Electoral College number will be when all is said and done next week? My prediction: Obama 303, Romney 235 Obama wins: Maine New Hampshire Vermont Massachusetts New York Connecticut Rhode Island New Jersey Pennsylvania Delaware Maryland Virginia Ohio Michigan Illinois Wisconsin Minnesota Colorado New Mexico Nevada California Oregon Washington Hawaii
Originally Posted By DyGDisney Are you basing your prediction on 538? I think it will be a lot closer than that, and that Romney will win the popular vote. But I don't want to hear a PEEP out of the "R's" if that happens because Bush lost the popular vote and won the election.
Originally Posted By WilliamK99 If Obama blows this, it's because of his campaign... He basically ran an election campaign of "that guy sucks" instead of using his own record... With that said I am hoping for Obama - 0 , Romney - 0, None of the Above - 538
Originally Posted By WilliamK99 Before someone goes off on me, yes I know Romney basically ran the same kind of campaign, the "He sucks" campaign but just because one side does it, doesn't mean you have to as well.
Originally Posted By TomSawyer Yep, 538 and a couple of other sites. The polls all seem to be converging now that the election is only a few days away. I think that Obama will eke out a popular vote victory as well, but it will probably be close.
Originally Posted By Dabob2 My prediction: Obama 338, Romney 200. I'm also giving Obama Iowa (he has a pretty solid lead there with not much time left) and Florida too. All the Florida polls are either guy only up by one or two - in other words, within the margin of error. I think Obama's better ground game and maybe even Floridians thinking about who they'd rather have in charge when (not if) the next big hurricane strikes THEM pushes Obama over the top there.
Originally Posted By Kar2oonMan I don't think it will be very close. The media has needed a horse race, and has engineered coverage to make it appear closer than it really is. I can't really guess at the actual electoral numbers, but I think Romney lost this long ago, and by the time that damning "47%" video appeared, it sealed his fate. People like William and DDMan, who might normally vote Republican, aren't going to vote for Romney. There's still a creepiness factor to Romney that dampens any real enthusiasm. Reagan was beloved by Republicans but it was because he had a natural charm and people voted FOR him, not just against Carter. Everything with Romney is forced and awkward and hopelessly "square" to use an old, square term. Who let the dogs out? If Romney winds up winning, however, I do hope you'll all have the common decency to forget I ever posted the above. ; )
Originally Posted By Kar2oonMan (And if you do mention it, I'll swear that you're taking my comments completely out of context. See? I learned stuff following this election.)
Originally Posted By Goofyernmost That would fall under... "I know that you believe you understand what you think I said, but I'm not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant." Quote credited to many people assuming that is what they meant.
Originally Posted By andyll Obama: 332 Romney: 206 I do not believe Romney will get Florida with Ryan as his VP
Originally Posted By DDMAN26 Well I vote sometime after work between 5 and 6. Then I'll come home make some dinner, watch a little ESPN or catch up on a few programs on the dvr. I'll check on the election later that night or the next morning.
Originally Posted By ecdc A week ago I would've called such aggressive predictions for Obama lunacy. But Hurricane Sandy seems to have changed things. Obama has been able to look Presidential and like a leader. Make no mistake, that will impact people. Sure, not the ones that hate him. Not the ones that insist he's politicizing this and shouldn't have his photo in the situation room published. But a lot of other people? Suddenly the first debate is forgotten and, what was that one energy company? Salina? Plus, didn't I just see a pretty positive jobs report headline on CNN? Fair or unfair, this is what an incumbent gets. And Romney just doesn't get to look as great as Obama right now. And it doesn't hurt that Chris Christie is praising Obama's response.
Originally Posted By Goofyernmost I wish I knew how to post it, but I noticed this morning on the website for my hometown that there was a picture of Obama at the Jersey Shore looking at the devastation. That wasn't the good part, this picture showed a woman, perhaps in her late 50's (hard to tell with Jersey) crying with her head on his shoulder while he was comforting her. Actually, here it is: <a href="http://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/President-Obama-Headed-to-Jersey-Shore-176615881.html" target="_blank">http://www.nbcnewyork.com/news...881.html</a> You couldn't buy that kind of good press.
Originally Posted By tiggertoo <<I do not believe Romney will get Florida with Ryan as his VP>> *in elderly voice* He looks like such a nice, honest young man, like my Benny.
Originally Posted By tiggertoo Republicans pick up North Carolina, Indiana, and Florida from the 2008 results. Not enough to win. Obama squeaks the popular vote, largely due to his cerebral, steady leadership after Sandy.
Originally Posted By tiggertoo This is why i use an editor when filing environmental impact reports. Should have said, "Not enough to deny him the win."
Originally Posted By Dabob2 Actually, you were right the first time. The subject of the first sentence was "Republicans," and if they just pick up IN, NC and FL compared to 2008, that's not enough for the win (for them). I think it'll be just picking up IN (for sure) and NC (probably), but I think Obama will squeak by in FL now.
Originally Posted By andyll Obama's efforts with Sandy will help him in FL. Charlie Crist should help him in FL. I do think Obama will pull our FL now. NC has been trending towards Obama the last week but probably not enough. I think Romney's Jeep ads and his fake Sandy event has given OH to Obama.
