Originally Posted By Darkbeer I am not the biggest fan of polls, because there are a lot of variables, and how the question is asked. I prefer the "Likely" Registered Voters Polls for the best info, alas, this Gallup Poll uses only Registered Voters. Also, it seems strange that only 10% of the folks are undecided, was the question phased in such a way to force someone to make a decision? Anyway, here is the poll... <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/108376/Gallup-Daily-Obama-McCain-Tied-45.aspx" target="_blank">http://www.gallup.com/poll/108...-45.aspx</a> A lot of things are still going to happen, including both National Conventions, Debates, etc.... Should be an interesting next 4 and 1/2 months.....
Originally Posted By alexbook Of course, we vote by state, not nationally. Here's the Wall Street Journal's latest polling article: >>Obama Leads McCain In Key Battleground States Four states that are expected to be pivotal in deciding November's presidential election are trending comfortably toward Barack Obama, with independents giving him wide support over John McCain, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted in partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com. The battleground surveys suggest how favorable the terrain is for Sen. Obama, the presumed Democratic nominee, at the outset of the summer general-election campaign. He is leading Sen. McCain, his apparent Republican rival, by double digits in Wisconsin and Minnesota and by smaller, but still comfortable, margins in Colorado and Michigan.<< <a href="http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB121448793591307047.html" target="_blank">http://online.wsj.com/public/a...047.html</a>
Originally Posted By DVC_dad I seem to recall several polls that had W getting whipped all the way until the bitter end of the election. Polls suck. They are not accurate and they have become tools for the media to try to brainwash stupid people.
Originally Posted By SingleParkPassholder I could SWEAR somebody recently wrote that this time of year, no poll means squat until the beginning of October or so.
Originally Posted By dshyates "I seem to recall several polls that had W getting whipped all the way until the bitter end of the election." I would have like to see what the results of the 2000 election would have been if no Diebold, Inc. voting machines were used.
Originally Posted By Kar2oonMan Bold Prediction Moment: After Obama announces his running mate, he will enjoy a bump in polling. After McCain announces his running mate, he, too, will enjoy a bump in polling. After the DNC convention, Obama will enjoy a bump in the polls. McCain will enjoy a bump in the polls following the RNC convention. Then in September, we'll get down to brass tacks and see if the major debate will be on the important issue of religion or whose spouse said what. In October, one of the candidates will say something that can be either beneign or shocking, depending on your political persuasion. Two weeks will be spent discussing and dissecting the statement, during which time little else will be discussed. Polls will be taken to measure the effect of the shocking/beneign statement. Mercifully, election day arrives in November. After which, pollsters reveal how and why they missed the mark. By mid-month, the losing candidate appears on Late Night with David Letterman or The Tonight Show with Jay Leno, and appears relaxed, funny, totally charming. At this point, Americans start asking themselves "Damn. Why didn't I vote for THAT guy?" In December, the first talk of Campaign 2012 begins.
Originally Posted By friendofdd Wonderful prediction, 2ooney. Obviously you are politically savvy. I predict that just four days before the election, one of the candidates will be exposed as an alien galactic visitor whose true form is that of a somewhat ugly monster. It is not yet clear which candidate this will be as both are being described in nasty terms by their opponents. The monster will win the election because he will be perceived as superior to any politician. The Supremes will invalidate the election because he was born on another planet and cannot meet basic qualifications. They will decide Nancy Pelosi should fill in as president. All politicians on both sides will get face lifts in preparation for the next election.
Originally Posted By DAR <<He is leading Sen. McCain, his apparent Republican rival, by double digits in Wisconsin>> That's not shocking at all I think Reagan was the last Republican this state voted for. <<and by smaller, but still comfortable, margins in Colorado and Michigan>> Michigan could change if McCain selects Romney as his VP.
