Cars: Box Office Predictions?

Discussion in 'Disney and Pixar Animated Films' started by See Post, Jun 8, 2006.

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  1. See Post

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    Originally Posted By electra

    I think at the end it will earn in the lower spectrum of Pixar hits...like Bugs Life..not a bomb but not Nemo numbers...

    its too many scenes of quiet road scenery & talking cars & not enough of the hyper humor theyve come to expect from cgi(thanks Dreamworks)...saw some kids fidgeting & fussing in my screening...
    not saying its a bad film though, go see it!
     
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    Originally Posted By DlandDug

    >>In fact some of the major newspapers really didn't like Cars at all.<<

    Atlanta and New York are the only negative reviews I have found. Oh-- and the Arizona Star.

    I don't know what this film will do on its opening weekend, but I believe Cars will stay around for most of the Summer.
     
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    Originally Posted By utahjosh

    I loved it. MUCH better than I thought it would be, thanks to some odd negative reviews.

    I'm predicting a huge box office.
     
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    Originally Posted By Dlmusic

    Friday estimates for Cars put it at around a $60 million opening.

    Not bad, but not quite as good as might be expected for a Pixar release. The word of mouth will be very important, and it seems to be a little more mixed right now than most Pixar films.

    In the end I expect Cars to be right underneath Toy Story 2 with about $200-220 million.
     
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    Originally Posted By leemac

    <<Friday estimates for Cars put it at around a $60 million opening.>>

    It looks like Cars did $19m on Friday so I would suggest as a family movie that it could pull in $25m for each of the weekend days. That would put it at $70m or so.
     
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    Originally Posted By TheRedhead

    You know, we keep comparing BO expectations to previous Pixar films.

    But the media will be comparing the opening to Ice Age 2, and that will really paint the film's opening as disappointing or not.

    I'd be shocked if it were under $70 million.
     
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    Originally Posted By Dlmusic

    That would be a stronger multiplier than Nemo and Incredibles I believe. But you're right the multiplier could put it more around $65-68 million. I was just being conservative.

    All in all, Cars' opening is nowhere near bad and really is only dissapointing to those expecting a radical opening (me for example :).

    The question will be how good the legs are. Finding Nemo had much better legs than Incredibles which many people blamed on Incredibles coming out when kids were not at school. It will be interesting to see how close Cars can get to Incredibles ($260 million).

    Just for comparisons sake:
    Chicken Little's Opening Weekend - $40 million
    Chicken Little's End Gross - $135 million
    Home on the Range's Opening Weekend - $14 million
    Home on The Range's End Gross - $50 million
    Brother Bear's Opening Weekend - $19 million
    Brother Bear's End Gross - $81 million

    So Pixar's still looking like a good buy to me.
     
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    Originally Posted By Dlmusic

    If the media compares Cars to Ice Age 2, they'll be doing the film a big disservice. Sequels to big films open big and are usually quite frontloaded. For example Ice Age 2 opened at $68 million and will end up with around $200 million. That's a fairly weak multiplier of around 2.9, in comparison to Incredibles (3.7) or Finding Nemo (4.7). That's even weaker than Brother Bear (4.3) or Chicken Little (3.1).

    So hopefully the press won't start jumping all over Cars until the movie reveals what legs it's going to have.
     
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    Originally Posted By Dave

    >>>So hopefully the press won't start jumping all over Cars until the movie reveals what legs it's going to have.<<<

    Cars don't have legs they have wheels

    :)
     
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    Originally Posted By smeeeko

    ^^*rimshot!* =)
     
  11. See Post

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    Originally Posted By Dave

    >>rimshot<<

    Wheels = rim.... See even smeeko gets it
     
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    Originally Posted By JeffG

    One other point that hasn't been mentioned regarding the film's opening weekend is that "Cars" is quite a bit longer than most animated films at 116 minutes (although it is only 1-minute longer than "The Incredibles" and 16-minutes longer than "Finding Nemo"). By comparison, "Ice Age: The Meltdown" was only 91 minutes.

    The relatively long running time (over 2-hours, when you add on the short subject, not to mention the previews and other commercials), will limit the number of showings per day compared to most animated features.

    -Jeff
     
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    Originally Posted By kennect

    So what was Friday? Around twenty million I think at the BO?
     
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    Originally Posted By leemac

    ^^ Almost to the penny Kennect.
     
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    Originally Posted By oc_dean

    <a href="http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=cars.htm" target="_blank">http://www.boxofficemojo.com/m
    ovies/?id=cars.htm</a>

    >>Domestic Total as of Jun. 9, 2006: $19,300,000 (Estimate)<<
     
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    Originally Posted By DlandDug

    Bear in mind, too, that film going is down in general since the release of the last Pixar film.
     
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    Originally Posted By smeeeko

    weekend isn't over yet.. (you kids got pixar stock or something?) =)

    seanyoda & I have yet to see it on a bigger screen so that total isn't including us yet.. just sayin' =P
     
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    Originally Posted By leemac

    BVPD are suggesting that Cars is on course for only $62m this weekend.

    That is far from stellar and it will be interesting to see how it fares this week and next weekend.
     
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    Originally Posted By AladdinAZ

    "Cars don't have legs they have wheels"

    Which would mean that it should be able to coast quite a bit further, than if it only had legs!

    SPOILER BELOW





    (Even lightning was able to get to the finish line with a couple of flats)
     
  20. See Post

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    Originally Posted By AladdinAZ

    (Cars will just have to stick their toungue out at the couple odd critics the movie has.)
     

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